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Oncology outcomes

Five integrated genomic subgroups track prostate-cancer relapse risk

Ross-Adams H, Lamb AD, Dunning MJ, et al. · EBioMedicine · 2015

Open access · cc by · source: Europe PMC

Across 259 men (482 samples), integrating copy-number and expression data defined five subgroups on 100 genes that predicted biochemical relapse in discovery, validation, and a third long-follow-up cohort.

Study at a glance

Design
Cohort — Discovery/validation integrating CNA and array transcriptomics for risk subgroups
N
N=259 · 259 men / 482 samples; discovery 125, validation 103
Population
Men with primary prostate cancer with tumour/benign/germline samples
Outcome
Integrative molecular subgroups predicting biochemical relapse

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

Key findings

Five subgroups based on 100 discriminating genes in discovery (n=125) and validation (n=103) consistently predicted biochemical relapse (p=0.0017 and p=0.016) and validated again in a third long-follow-up cohort (p=0.027). Integrative analysis outperformed single-data-type approaches and nominated many progression-linked genes not seen with either modality alone.

Methodology

Authors analysed 482 tumour/benign/germline samples from 259 men with primary prostate cancer, integrating CNA and array transcriptomics (eQTL-style) to define patient subgroups and associate them with future biochemical relapse, comparing integrative models with CNA- or expression-only approaches.

Limitations

Biochemical relapse prediction is not metastasis-free or overall-survival proof for every subgroup. Subgroup labels are cohort-derived classifiers — not a bedside kit by themselves. Integrative gain does not mean every nominated gene is a drug target.

How this study connects

Role on claims

Each row is a claim on a concept or method page where this paper supports, challenges, or qualifies the statement. Roles are hand-checked — not a model guess.

  • QualifiesProstate cancerconcept

    A 22-marker genomic classifier predicts early metastasis after prostatectomy better than clinical variables alone.

    In Mayo radical-prostatectomy men enriched for PSA rise, a 22-marker expression classifier achieved validation AUC 0.75 for early clinical metastasis and was the only significant factor in multivariable models.

    Scope note — related risk theme, but five integrative subgroups for biochemical relapse, not the 22-marker GC

    Limits the claim's scope: a different population, assay, or outcome.

  • SupportsProstate cancerconcept

    Five integrative CNA+expression subgroups predict biochemical relapse across cohorts.

    In 259 men, five subgroups from 100 discriminating genes predicted biochemical relapse in discovery and validation and again in a third long-follow-up cohort, with integrative analysis outperforming single data types.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • SupportsProstate cancerconcept

    GC discriminates early metastasis after PSA rise; HDAC2 IHC tracks PSA-relapse timing; integrative subgroups stratify biochemical relapse. Shared “aggressive prostate cancer” language does not make the assays interchangeable.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

Open questions

Tensions this paper is part of

From concept pages' “where studies disagree.” Disagreement means the same question; scope means different assays, populations, or outcomes.

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