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Critical care

Two blood gene signatures track sepsis outcomes

Davenport EE, Burnham KL, Radhakrishnan J, et al. · The Lancet. Respiratory medicine · 2016

Open access · cc by · source: Europe PMC

In UK ICU adults with pneumonia sepsis, leukocyte transcriptomes split into SRS1 (immunosuppressed, ~41%) and SRS2; SRS1 had roughly 2–3× higher 14-day mortality, and a 7-gene set classified the groups.

Study at a glance

Design
Cohort — GAinS prospective ICU transcriptomic discovery + validation
N
N=265 · Discovery cohort; validation n=106 further ICU patients
Population
UK ICU adults with community-acquired pneumonia sepsis and organ dysfunction
Outcome
Transcriptomic sepsis response signatures (SRS1/SRS2) and 14-day mortality

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

Key findings

Unsupervised clustering defined two sepsis response signatures, SRS1 and SRS2. SRS1 (~41% of discovery patients) showed an immunosuppressed phenotype (endotoxin tolerance, T-cell exhaustion, HLA class II downregulation) and higher 14-day mortality (discovery HR 2.4; validation HR 2.8). A predictive set of seven genes classified SRS membership.

Methodology

In the GAinS study, authors profiled peripheral-blood leukocyte gene expression in a prospective discovery cohort of 265 UK ICU adults with community-acquired pneumonia sepsis and organ dysfunction, then validated in 106 further patients. They related transcriptomic subgroups to outcomes and mapped expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL).

Limitations

Does not prove that assigning SRS at the bedside and treating differently improves survival in a randomized trial. The discovery setting is pneumonia-driven ICU sepsis in UK adults—not every infection source or age group. Genetic eQTL findings explain expression variation; they are not prescriptions for IL-6 drugs.

How this study connects

Role on claims

Each row is a claim on a concept or method page where this paper supports, challenges, or qualifies the statement. Roles are hand-checked — not a model guess.

  • SupportsSepsisconcept

    Blood leukocyte transcriptomes split ICU pneumonia sepsis into SRS1 vs SRS2 with different early mortality.

    In prospective UK ICU adults with community-acquired pneumonia sepsis, unsupervised transcriptomics defined SRS1 (~41%) as an immunosuppressed state with higher 14-day mortality than SRS2 (discovery HR 2.4; validation HR 2.8), classifiable with a seven-gene set.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • QualifiesSepsisconcept

    Genetically proxied IL6R blockade associates with lower sepsis risk and severity.

    Mendelian randomisation treating IL6R variants as lifelong proxies for receptor blockade found lower odds of sepsis in UK Biobank (OR 0.80) and stronger associations for critical-care sepsis phenotypes (e.g., OR 0.48), with a similar-sized protective association for severe COVID-19 where IL-6 blockade is already recommended.

    Scope note — related host-response theme, but SRS classes are acute transcriptomic states — not IL6R MR instruments

    Limits the claim's scope: a different population, assay, or outcome.

  • QualifiesSepsisconcept

    A three-metabolite serum panel can flag sepsis-associated AKI early in a small cohort.

    After mouse kidney multi-omics discovery, a 56-patient serum cohort supported an IC3 model (inosine, creatine, 3-hydroxybutyric acid) for early SA-AKI identification (AUC 0.90).

    Scope note — different readout — kidney metabolites vs blood leukocyte SRS

    Limits the claim's scope: a different population, assay, or outcome.

  • SupportsSepsisconcept

    SRS classes describe acute ICU transcriptomic states after pneumonia sepsis; IL6R MR estimates lifelong pathway effects on sepsis risk across a volunteer biobank. Both can be true without being the same assay or the same treatment decision.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • SupportsSepsisconcept

    IC3 targets early recognition of SA-AKI; SRS targets host-response prognosis. Shared sepsis context does not make kidney metabolites interchangeable with blood immune subtypes.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

Open questions

Tensions this paper is part of

From concept pages' “where studies disagree.” Disagreement means the same question; scope means different assays, populations, or outcomes.

  • Scope difference — different assays, populations, or outcomes

    SupportsSepsis

    SRS classes describe acute ICU transcriptomic states after pneumonia sepsis; IL6R MR estimates lifelong pathway effects on sepsis risk across a volunteer biobank. Both can be true without being the same assay or the same treatment decision.

  • Scope difference — different assays, populations, or outcomes

    SupportsSepsis

    IC3 targets early recognition of SA-AKI; SRS targets host-response prognosis. Shared sepsis context does not make kidney metabolites interchangeable with blood immune subtypes.

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