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Representation learning

Do deep learned features help predict disease from gene data?

Smith AM, Walsh JR, Long J, et al. · BMC bioinformatics · 2020

Open access · cc by · source: Europe PMC

Across dozens of prediction tasks from gene expression data, fancy learned representations did not beat a simple regularised linear model on properly normalised data.

Study at a glance

Design
Computational / modelling — Systematic benchmark of normalisations, gene sets, learned representations and classifiers across many RNA-seq prediction tasks using 5-fold nested cross-validation.
N
About 37k samples trained the unsupervised representations; supervised tasks (24 classification, 26 survival) each had typically a few hundred samples.
Population
Human RNA-seq samples from the recount2 database (GTEx, TCGA and SRA).
Outcome
Out-of-sample AUC (binary), accuracy (multiclass) and concordance index (survival).

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

Key findings

Models using many genes beat those using the single best gene, and log-ratio normalisation beat raw relative abundances. Representations from PCA, autoencoders and VAEs lowered out-of-sample performance, and the semi-supervised version helped slightly only on tasks similar to its training data. Random forest won 13 tasks and logistic regression nine, but logistic regression was more consistent, so an l2-regularised linear model on centred log-ratio data is recommended as the baseline.

Methodology

Using public RNA-seq data, the authors set up 24 classification tasks and 26 survival tasks and compared thousands of models with 5-fold nested cross-validation. They varied the normalisation, the gene set, whether features came from PCA, a denoising autoencoder, a variational autoencoder or none, and the classifier (k-nearest neighbours, random forest, regularised logistic regression). They also tested a semi-supervised autoencoder trained jointly with several prediction tasks.

Limitations

The result covers bulk RNA-seq phenotype prediction with the specific architectures and 512-dimensional embeddings tested; other designs or much larger labelled datasets might change it. Supervised tasks had only a few hundred samples each, which may favour simple models. The authors suggest simple methods may already be near the limit of what bulk expression can predict, but they do not test that directly.

How this study connects

Role on claims

Each row is a claim on a concept or method page where this paper supports, challenges, or qualifies the statement. Roles are hand-checked — not a model guess.

  • Learned representations are not always better than raw features with a simple model.

    For phenotype prediction from bulk transcriptomics, PCA, autoencoder and VAE representations lowered out-of-sample performance compared with regularised linear models or random forests on log-ratio normalised data.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • Pretrained embeddings helped for CT imaging, protein and metagenome tasks but hurt for bulk transcriptomic phenotype prediction with a few hundred labelled samples.

    Same question, contrary or null result.

Open questions

Tensions this paper is part of

From concept pages' “where studies disagree.” Disagreement means the same question; scope means different assays, populations, or outcomes.

Discoveries this paper informs or conflicts with

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