Topic
Extreme events research, explained
5 open-access extreme events studies, each with a flashcard deck and a quiz.
- Wilder rainfall swings make record storms more likely
Future record-shattering daily downpours become much more probable because extreme-rain variability grows, not only because the mean inches up.
- Future Floyd–Florence rains could jump sharply
A design-rainfall method applied to three historic tropical cyclones projects large late-century increases in eastern North Carolina extreme rain.
- Indian downpours are driven more by uplift than extra humidity
For monsoon extremes over India, stronger upward motion supplies most of the extra moisture, not the Clausius–Clapeyron humidity increase alone.
- US 1-in-1000-year rainstorms become much more common
Today’s thousand-year three-day downpours over the United States could strike several times more often at 2–4 °C of global warming.
- Clouds amplified the 2022 Antarctic heatwave
Water-vapor and supercooled-cloud feedbacks added several degrees to the March 2022 East Antarctic heatwave compared with a preindustrial storyline.