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Barred owls and megafire hit native owls differently

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Flammulated owls declined 71% in severe burns and doubled after barred owl removals; pygmy and great horned owls barely budged.

Source

Divergent responses of native predators to severe wildfire and biological invasion are mediated by life history

Barry JM, Wood CM, Jones GM, et al. · Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025

doi.org/10.1002/eap.70135Read the full paper ↗2 citationscc by

Study at a glance

Design
Other — Passive acoustic occupancy modeling across megafires and barred owl removal experiment
N
N=265 · 265 hexagonal survey cells with 517 ARUs; 80 barred owl/hybrid removals
Population
Owls across >6,000 km² of the northern Sierra Nevada
Outcome
Site occupancy of flammulated, pygmy, and great horned owls after fire and removals

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

What they did

Researchers ran passive acoustic surveys (2018, 2021–2023) across >6000 km2 of the northern Sierra Nevada, bracketing the North Complex and Dixie megafires and a lethal barred owl removal experiment (80 birds). Occupancy models tested fire, invasion, and their interaction for flammulated, pygmy, and great horned owls.

What they found

Severe fire cut flammulated occupancy 71% for ≥3 years in near-complete burns, yet occupancy was higher where some high-severity fire occurred (Ψ 0.29 vs 0.16 unburned). After removals, flammulated occupancy at treatment sites rose from 0.09 to 0.18 (about twofold). Pygmy and great horned owls showed little fire or removal response. No fire×removal interaction. Flammulated occupancy was 196% higher in the most rugged terrain; barred owls declined 84% there.

The limits

What it doesn't show

Barred owl densities were already low after removals, so interactions could emerge where invaders are denser. Predation on flammulated owls was not directly observed. Great horned habitat coefficients had wide intervals overlapping zero. Surveys cover a few years postfire, not decades of snag-forest succession.

Key terms

Barred owl invasion
Westward expansion of Strix varia, an eastern apex predator competing with and preying on smaller western forest owls.
Lethal removal experiment
80 barred owls/hybrids shot 2018–2022; site occupancy fell from 0.19 to 0.03 (factor of 6.3).
Flammulated owl
Small nocturnal insectivore and secondary-cavity nester; most sensitive to both severe fire and barred owls.
Occupancy (Ψ)
Probability a site is used, estimated from replicated acoustic detections while accounting for imperfect detection.
Megafire
Very large, high-severity wildfire; here the 2020 North Complex and 2021 Dixie Fire.

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Quiz yourself

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In near-complete severe burns, flammulated occupancy fell by about:

Common questions

Did all native owls crash after megafire?

No. Only flammulated owls showed a strong negative response to extensive high-severity burn.

Did removing barred owls help everyone?

Only flammulated occupancy increased; pygmy and great horned owls did not.

Did fire block recovery after removals?

No interactive effect: fire and invasion acted separately at these low invader densities.

Why might pygmy owls be safer from barred owls?

They hunt at dusk and by day, reducing overlap with a nocturnal invader.

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