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Does believing you can read well predict reading skill?

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Children who were more confident in their reading ability were better at reading words aloud, even after accounting for their memory, vocabulary and sound-awareness skills, but their confidence did not predict how well they understood what they read.

Source

Reading Self-Efficacy Predicts Word Reading But Not Comprehension in Both Girls and Boys

Carroll JM, Fox AC · Frontiers in psychology · 2016

doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2016.02056Read the full paper ↗14 citationscc by

Study at a glance

Design
Cross-sectional — Class-administered self-efficacy questionnaire plus group and individual reading and cognitive tests in one term; hierarchical regressions run separately by gender with self-efficacy entered last.
N
N=175 · 86 boys and 93 girls in Years 4-6 were tested; four children with extreme low self-efficacy scores were excluded, leaving the analysed sample.
Population
Children in Years 4, 5 and 6 at two phonics-teaching primary schools in central England, mostly white middle-class, English as first language
Outcome
Word reading efficiency (TOWRE words and nonwords) and sentence-completion reading comprehension (shortened Vernon-Warden)

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What they did

The researchers developed a questionnaire asking children how sure they were that they could carry out a series of reading tasks of increasing difficulty, rated from 1 to 7. They gave it to 86 boys and 93 girls in Years 4 to 6 at two English primary schools, along with a timed test of reading real and made-up words, a sentence-completion comprehension test, and tests of working memory, short-term memory, vocabulary and phonological awareness. Regressions entered school, age and the cognitive skills first, then self-efficacy last, separately for boys and girls.

What they found

Reading self-efficacy correlated with word reading but not with comprehension. After controlling for school, age and cognitive skills, self-efficacy remained a small but significant predictor of word reading for both girls and boys, alongside working memory and phonological awareness. It did not predict comprehension. Boys and girls had similar self-efficacy levels and the self-efficacy-reading link did not differ by gender, and older children reported slightly higher self-efficacy.

The limits

What it doesn't show

Because everything was measured at one point, the study cannot tell whether confidence improves reading or whether good readers simply know they are good; the authors expect the relationship runs both ways. The comprehension test had only adequate reliability and, unusually, was not predicted by vocabulary, so the null comprehension result may reflect a weak measure rather than a true absence of a link. The questionnaire was new and its items mostly concerned decoding-type activities, the schools were two phonics-teaching schools serving mainly white middle-class families, and the text does not report the size of the self-efficacy effects.

Key terms

Self-efficacy
A person's belief that they can successfully carry out a specific action to reach a goal, as described by Bandura.
Self-concept
A more general and stable belief about one's competence in an area, such as 'I am a good reader', distinct from task-specific self-efficacy.
Self-teaching mechanism
The idea that each successful decoding of a new printed word helps a child recognise that word automatically in future.
Phonological awareness
The ability to detect and manipulate the sounds within spoken words, a strong predictor of word reading.
Hierarchical regression
A regression in which predictors are entered in blocks to test whether a later block adds explanatory power beyond earlier ones.

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What was the key finding about reading self-efficacy?

Common questions

Why control for cognitive skills before entering self-efficacy?

Children with better underlying skills may simply be accurate about their ability, so controlling those skills tests whether confidence adds anything beyond what the child can actually do.

Does this mean boosting children's confidence will make them better readers?

Not on its own. The data are correlational, and the authors note that high self-efficacy is unlikely to help unless the underlying skills are present; repeated success with manageable texts may build both.

Why might self-efficacy relate to word reading but not comprehension?

Children this age may focus more on decoding than on understanding, the questionnaire items mostly described decoding-type tasks, and the comprehension test may have been a weak measure.

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