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Did US premature-death inequities only widen as health improved?

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US premature mortality inequities shrank in the late 1960s–1970s then widened or stagnated—showing disparities do not automatically move with average health.

Source

The fall and rise of US inequities in premature mortality: 1960-2002

Krieger N, Rehkopf DH, Chen JT, et al. · PLoS medicine · 2008

doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050046Read the full paper ↗136 citationscc by

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Did US premature-death inequities only widen as health improved?

These passages occur verbatim in the stored paper text. They support the points listed below; they do not verify every statement in the explanation.

What temporal pattern of inequities is summarised?

In summary, our evidence of decreasing and then increasing or stagnating socioeconomic and racial/ethnic inequities in US premature mortality and infant death requires explanation and refutes the view that improvements in population health by default entail growing or shrinking health disparities, whether absolute or relative.

Which mortality outcomes were tracked?

Moreover, recognizing the complex interplay between socioeconomic and racial/ethnic inequality and health inequities in the United States [,,], we opted to analyze trends in socioeconomic inequities in premature mortality for the total population and by race/ethnicity.
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What they did

Researchers tracked premature mortality and infant death across US county income quintiles and racial/ethnic groups from 1960 to 2002, comparing absolute and relative inequities over time.

What they found

Inequities fell especially between 1966 and 1980 (notably for populations of color), then relative gaps widened and absolute gaps stagnated. Relative premature-mortality ratios of about 1.3 in 1970/1980 rose later.

The limits

What it doesn't show

County income is an ecological SES proxy; the study does not identify a single causal policy that produced the fall-then-rise pattern.

Key terms

Premature mortality
Deaths occurring earlier than an expected age cutoff, used as a preventable-death marker.
Health inequities
Unjust differences in health across social groups.
Absolute vs relative disparity
Rate difference versus rate ratio between groups.
County income quintile
Counties grouped by median household income into five strata.
Infant death
Mortality in the first year of life, a classic equity indicator.

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The paper’s core narrative of inequities is:

Common questions

What period is covered?

Roughly 1960–2002.

Did inequities only grow?

No—they fell then later widened/stagnated.

Who saw large mid-period gains?

Especially US populations of color during 1966–1980.

Teaching point?

Average health gains do not dictate one inevitable disparity trajectory.

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