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Cardiovascular

How does smoking change risk across CVD subtypes?

Banks E, Joshy G, Korda RJ, et al. · BMC medicine · 2019

Open access · cc by · source: Europe PMC

In ~188k Australians, current smoking raised risk for most CVD subtypes—often at least doubling AMI, stroke, and heart failure—and quitting early cut excess risk.

Study at a glance

Design
Cohort — Prospective 45 and Up Study linked hospitalisation/death for smoking vs CVD subtypes
N
N=188167 · CVD- and cancer-free adults ≥45 at baseline
Population
Australian general-population adults in the 45 and Up Study
Outcome
Fatal/non-fatal CVD hospitalisation and CVD mortality by subtype

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Key findings

27,511 major CVD events over mean 7.2 years. Current smoking HRs included 1.63 for major CVD, 2.45 AMI, and 5.06 PAD; paroxysmal tachycardia was newly linked. Dose-response for CVD death and large risk reduction with quitting before 45.

Methodology

Followed CVD/cancer-free 45 and Up participants with linked hospital and death records, estimating HRs for current/past vs never smokers across many CVD endpoints.

Limitations

Observational HRs are not randomised treatment effects; residual confounding remains after adjustment.

How this study connects

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