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Fire tied to 38% of global forest loss

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From 2003–2018, 38±9% of annual forest loss was fire-related, and that fraction explained 89±5% of year-to-year variation in global loss rates.

Source

The role of fire in global forest loss dynamics

van Wees D, van der Werf GR, Randerson JT, et al. · Global change biology · 2021

doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15591Read the full paper ↗34 citationscc by

What they did

Hansen forest-loss maps were overlaid with burned-area and active-fire detections to estimate fire-related loss globally and regionally, including trends.

What they found

Average loss 239×10³ km²/yr; 91±22×10³ km²/yr fire-related. Boreal sparsely populated areas were almost entirely fire-related; some forestry regions ≤10%. Global fraction was stable but fell in Amazon/Indonesia and rose in African tropics.

The limits

What it doesn't show

Overlap of fire detections with loss is not a full causal attribution of every pixel; logging or climate can co-occur with fire, and burned-area products miss some fires.

Key terms

Fire-related forest loss
Forest-loss pixels coincident with burned area or active fires.
Hansen forest loss
Landsat-based annual tree-cover loss product.
Burned area vs active fire
Two satellite fire detections; both used because each misses some events.
Interannual variability
Year-to-year swings in global forest-loss area.
Deforestation frontier
Regions of rapid commodity-driven forest conversion, often using fire.

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Fire-related share of global forest loss was about:

Common questions

What share of forest loss was fire-related?

38±9% (2003–2018).

Share of year-to-year variability?

89±5%.

Boreal vs forestry regions?

Nearly all vs typically ≤10%.

Global trend in the fraction?

Stable overall; regional declines and African increases.

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