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How dams fingerprint regional sea-level change

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Impounding reservoir water lowers global mean sea level but can raise relative sea level within about 2000 km of large dams.

Source

A Spatially Variable Time Series of Sea Level Change Due to Artificial Water Impoundment

Hawley WB, Hay CC, Mitrovica JX, et al. · Earth's future · 2020

doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001497Read the full paper ↗5 citationscc by

Study at a glance

Design
Computational / modelling — GRD sea-level fingerprints of GRanD reservoir impoundment plus seepage and future dams
N
N=6329 · 6,329 post-1900 GRanD reservoirs (5,979 km³ total volume)
Population
Global artificial reservoirs in the GRanD database (1900–2011) and projected Zarfl dams
Outcome
Global mean and spatially variable relative sea-level change from water impoundment

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

What they did

Authors computed yearly gravitational-rotational-deformational sea-level fingerprints for GRanD reservoirs (1900–2011), added seepage, and projected Zarfl hydropower dams to 2040.

What they found

GRanD volume of 5,979 km³ equals a 16.6 mm GMSL fall (0.15 mm/yr); with seepage the drop is 21.8 mm by 2011 and 30.1 mm by 2040. Nearby relative sea level can rise ~40 mm (Manicouagan), opposite the global mean.

The limits

What it doesn't show

GRanD holds only ~72% of WRD volume with unknown geography for the rest; future volumes are inferred from hydropower capacity, and 3-D Earth structure is neglected (~1% fingerprint error).

Key terms

GRD fingerprint
Sea-level pattern from gravity, rotation, and solid-Earth deformation after mass moves.
GMSL
Global mean sea level.
GRanD
Georeferenced database of large reservoirs used for 1900–2011.
Seepage
Slow leakage of reservoir water into surrounding land, still withheld from the ocean.
Relative sea level
Sea surface height relative to the local solid Earth.

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Quiz yourself

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Near a filled reservoir, relative sea level typically:

Common questions

Does filling a dam always lower local sea level?

No—RSL can rise within ~2000 km even as GMSL falls.

GRanD GMSL fall 1900–2011?

16.6 mm, or 21.8 mm including seepage.

How many post-1900 GRanD reservoirs?

6,329, totaling 5,979 km³.

2040 seepage-inclusive GMSL drop?

About 30.1 mm.

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