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How many species live on Earth and in the ocean?

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A validated taxonomic extrapolation estimates ~8.7 million eukaryotic species on Earth, with most still undescribed.

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How many species are there on Earth and in the ocean?

Mora C, Tittensor DP, Adl S, et al. · PLoS biology · 2011

doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.1001127Read the full paper ↗1,046 citationscc by

Study at a glance

Design
Computational / modelling — Higher-taxon discovery models extrapolating eukaryotic species richness, plus taxonomist survey
N
N=548 · 548 taxonomists responded of ~2,938 contacted (18.7%); species estimate ~8.7 million is model-based
Population
Global taxonomic catalogues and surveyed taxonomy experts
Outcome
Estimated number of eukaryotic species on Earth and in the ocean

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

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How many species live on Earth and in the ocean?

These passages occur verbatim in the stored paper text. They support the points listed below; they do not verify every statement in the explanation.

Estimate of ~8.7 million species on Earth.

Our current estimate of ∼8.7 million species narrows the range of 3 to 100 million species suggested by taxonomic experts and it suggests that after 250 years of taxonomic classification only a small fraction of species on Earth (∼14%) and in the ocean (∼9%) have been indexed in a central database ().

What fraction of Earth species are catalogued?

only a small fraction of species on Earth (∼14%) and in the ocean (∼9%) have been indexed in a central database ().
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What they did

Authors modeled higher-taxon discovery patterns to extrapolate species richness for Earth and ocean eukaryotes, validating against well-sampled groups and surveying taxonomists about synonyms and effort.

What they found

They estimate ~8.7 million species overall, narrowing prior expert ranges of 3–100 million, and conclude only ~14% of Earth and ~9% of ocean species are catalogued after 250 years of taxonomy.

The limits

What it doesn't show

Prokaryote diversity is poorly captured by the same species concept; estimates will shift with better synonym control and sampling.

Key terms

Species richness
Count of distinct species in a region or on Earth.
Higher-taxon approach
Using patterns among known genera/families to extrapolate unknown species.
Synonymy
Multiple names for the same species that inflate catalogue counts.
Taxonomic effort
Rate and capacity of describing new species.
Marine biodiversity
Species diversity in ocean ecosystems.

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Headline Earth species estimate:

Common questions

What is the headline Earth estimate?

About 8.7 million species.

How much is catalogued?

Roughly 14% on Earth and 9% in the ocean.

What prior range did this narrow?

Expert guesses from about 3 to 100 million.

Why are prokaryotes special?

Species concepts differ; known prokaryotes barely move the eukaryotic total.

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