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Invasive species

Suppressing invasive brown trout networks

Healy BD, Budy P, Yackulic CB, et al. · Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2023

Open access · cc by · source: Europe PMC

Only metapopulation-wide, multi-life-stage suppression quickly drove invasive brown trout toward quasi-extinction.

Study at a glance

Design
Computational / modelling — Metapopulation PVA of invasive brown trout under removal and climate/reservoir scenarios
N
Simulation scenarios (18 under current climate); not an empirical sample-size study
Population
Modeled brown trout in Colorado River and Bright Angel Creek subpopulations
Outcome
Time and probability of quasi-extinction under multi-life-stage suppression

Structured fields used in claim comparison tables when every cited study has a complete layer.

Key findings

Best combos reached QE in 5.7–6.3 years; skipping age-0 methods dropped QE probability to 29%; warming can shrink the mainstem but tributaries persist.

Methodology

Built a metapopulation PVA for invasive brown trout in Colorado River and Bright Angel Creek subpopulations, comparing electrofishing, harvest, redd destruction, mechanical removal, and climate/reservoir scenarios.

Limitations

Does not field-test that managers can actually hit those suppression rates every year.

How this study connects

Role on claims

Each row is a claim on a concept or method page where this paper supports, challenges, or qualifies the statement. Roles are hand-checked — not a model guess.

  • SupportsInvasive speciesconcept

    This library holds 3 empirical papers on invasive species with measured outcomes rather than reviews.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • SupportsInvasive speciesconcept

    Only metapopulation-wide, multi-life-stage suppression quickly drove invasive brown trout toward quasi-extinction.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • SupportsMixed-Effects Modelmethod

    A metapopulation PVA for invasive brown trout in Colorado River and Bright Angel Creek compared electrofishing, harvest, redd destruction, mechanical removal and climate/reservoir scenarios. Best combinations reached quasi-extinction in 5.7–6.3 years; skipping age-0 methods dropped QE probability to 29%; warming can shrink the mainstem but tributaries persist. The model does not field-test that managers can actually hit those suppression rates every year.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

  • SupportsMixed-Effects Modelmethod

    Mixed-effects and adjacent hierarchical papers here are not one invasive-species result. Children's BMI growth is a traffic-pollution question (non-freeway NOₓ associated; freeway NOₓ not). Abisko space-for-time finds SOC falling from 9.01 to 4.51 kg m⁻² heath to forest as a shrub-expansion analogue. Šumava tree rings track beech versus spruce under shifting air chemistry in 35 trees. The brown-trout PVA is a suppression forecast (QE in 5.7–6.3 years; 29% if age-0 methods are skipped), not a mixed model of field counts proving those rates. The method label mixes four questions.

    Evidence for the claim as stated.

Open questions

Tensions this paper is part of

From concept pages' “where studies disagree.” Disagreement means the same question; scope means different assays, populations, or outcomes.

  • Scope difference — different assays, populations, or outcomes

    Mixed-effects and adjacent hierarchical papers here are not one invasive-species result. Children's BMI growth is a traffic-pollution question (non-freeway NOₓ associated; freeway NOₓ not). Abisko space-for-time finds SOC falling from 9.01 to 4.51 kg m⁻² heath to forest as a shrub-expansion analogue. Šumava tree rings track beech versus spruce under shifting air chemistry in 35 trees. The brown-trout PVA is a suppression forecast (QE in 5.7–6.3 years; 29% if age-0 methods are skipped), not a mixed model of field counts proving those rates. The method label mixes four questions.

Related papers in this topic

Same topic cluster — not a recommendation engine.