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Simple baselines beat cell foundation models on Perturb-seq

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Benchmarking scGPT and scFoundation against baselines finds that training-set mean and basic ML with biological features outperform the foundation models on post-perturbation expression prediction.

Source

Benchmarking foundation cell models for post-perturbation RNA-seq prediction

Csendes G, Sanz G, Szalay KZ, et al. · BMC genomics · 2025

doi.org/10.1186/s12864-025-11600-2Read the full paper ↗34 citationscc by

What they did

Csendes et al. fine-tuned/evaluated scGPT and scFoundation against train-mean and classical regressors (e.g., elastic net, kNN, random forest) using GO/feature embeddings on Adamson, Norman, and Replogle Perturb-seq datasets, scoring Pearson correlation in raw and differential expression spaces.

What they found

Even taking the mean of training examples beat scGPT and scFoundation. Biologically featured ML models outperformed scGPT by a large margin. Results expose weaknesses in current post-perturbation benchmarks/metrics and foundation-model claims.

The limits

What it doesn't show

Does not prove foundation models useless for all tasks—only that they underperform on these prediction setups. Future architectures/metrics might reverse the ranking.

Key terms

Foundation cell model
Large pretrained scRNA-seq model fine-tuned for downstream tasks.
scGPT / scFoundation
Transformer-style foundation models benchmarked here.
Post-perturbation prediction
Predicting expression after a known genetic/chemical perturbation.
Train-mean baseline
Predicting the average of training examples—surprisingly strong here.
Perturb-seq
Single-cell RNA-seq readouts of CRISPR perturbations.
Differential expression space
Perturbed profile minus control, used for correlation metrics.

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Which baseline beat scGPT/scFoundation?

Common questions

Which foundation models were tested?

scGPT and scFoundation versus simple baselines.

What simple baseline won?

Taking the mean of training examples outperformed both foundation models.

Did classical ML help?

Yes—models with biologically meaningful features beat scGPT by a large margin.

Example dataset sizes?

Adamson ~68.6k cells; Norman ~91.2k cells.

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